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About This Site

AI Prophecy Index is an independent research and tracking project created by Scott Hazlitt. It documents and evaluates publicly stated predictions about artificial intelligence made by Carl Shulman, Leopold Aschenbrenner, and Ajeya Cotra. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to those individuals or their associated organisations.

AI-Generated Content

Prediction summaries, evidence assessments, implication statements, and other editorial content on this site were produced with the assistance of AI language models, including Claude (Anthropic). While source materials are drawn from public interviews, podcasts, and published writing, the framing, interpretation, categorisation, and status judgements reflect automated analysis and editorial choices. This content may contain errors, omissions, or unintended bias.

AI-assisted assessment panels are labelled where they appear in the tracker. No content on this site should be taken as a definitive or authoritative representation of the views of the individuals tracked.

No Investment or Policy Advice

Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice, financial advice, legal advice, or policy guidance. Prediction tracking is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Do not rely on content from this site to inform consequential decisions without conducting independent research and seeking qualified professional advice.

Privacy

This site does not collect personal information, use tracking cookies, or operate user accounts. Standard server logs (IP address, browser type, referring URL) may be retained by the hosting provider (Vercel) for security and operational purposes in accordance with their Privacy Policy. No analytics scripts or third-party trackers are loaded.

Intellectual Property

Quoted material from public interviews and published writing belongs to the respective authors and is reproduced here in brief for commentary and analysis purposes consistent with fair dealing. Original site design, code, and editorial content are copyright © 2026 Scott Hazlitt. The source code for this site is available on GitHub.

Contact

For questions, corrections, or takedown requests, contact Scott Hazlitt at scott@scotthazlitt.ai.